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Return-Path: <marketing@consumersfirstgroup.com> Delivered-To: rvasquez@ifprc.com.pe Received: from pyme91.pymedns.net by pyme91.pymedns.net with LMTP id Mc/YDQeTKWI+vB4A++YgJQ (envelope-from <marketing@consumersfirstgroup.com>) for <rvasquez@ifprc.com.pe>; Thu, 10 Mar 2022 02:56:23 -0300 Return-path: <marketing@consumersfirstgroup.com> Envelope-to: rvasquez@ifprc.com.pe Delivery-date: Thu, 10 Mar 2022 02:56:23 -0300 Received: from consumersfirstgroup.com ([159.223.157.238]:35302 helo=vps1.consumersfirstgroup.com) by pyme91.pymedns.net with esmtps (TLS1.2) tls TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384 (Exim 4.94.2) (envelope-from <marketing@consumersfirstgroup.com>) id 1nSBmb-008Rs7-UG for rvasquez@ifprc.com.pe; Thu, 10 Mar 2022 02:56:23 -0300 Message-ID: <02abe2487fab810f7326903bf6022b7fdc9fd7@consumersfirstgroup.com> Reply-To: Con Full Excel <info-ae@ambit-customers.com> From: Con Full Excel <marketing@consumersfirstgroup.com> To: rvasquez@ifprc.com.pe Subject: =?utf-8?B?VMOpY25pY2FzIGRlIFBsYW5pZmljYWNpw7NuIGRlIGxhIERlbWFuZGE=?= Date: Thu, 10 Mar 2022 00:55:34 -0500 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="a8e0a90334e0ca44386ddb70bd4960341d9b60" List-Unsubscribe: <http://ideaandsolution.net/amsweb.php?hev9U079UYASZ9KK%2BdneebkqZnr0nvK4x69oFb6TnhTIc7BlVdn2dNNiUBd5N7NAlbqMYy0Az2ZLKO5KYlUwS2hZHGAcl1ezY%2F%2BT%2B1qQKmpm799358p%2F2mSqIuTG6fY6QnqtXG8T3%2BYh7MahwbHh6g%3D%3D> X-Spam-Status: No, score=2.0 X-Spam-Score: 20 X-Spam-Bar: ++ X-Ham-Report: Spam detection software, running on the system "pyme91.pymedns.net", has NOT identified this incoming email as spam. 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Content preview: Estimados señores: rvasquez@ifprc.com.pe lo invitamos a participar del seminario: ESPECIALIZACIÓN ONLINE TÉCNICAS ESTADÍSTICAS PARA PLANIFICACIÓN DE LA DEMANDA CON FULL EXCEL VIERNES 18 Y MARTES 22 DE MARZO Content analysis details: (2.0 points, 7.0 required) pts rule name description ---- ---------------------- -------------------------------------------------- 2.0 BAYES_50 BODY: Bayes spam probability is 40 to 60% [score: 0.5000] -0.0 SPF_PASS SPF: sender matches SPF record 0.0 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message -0.0 T_SCC_BODY_TEXT_LINE No description available. 0.0 KAM_SHORT Use of a URL Shortener for very short URL X-Spam-Flag: NO --a8e0a90334e0ca44386ddb70bd4960341d9b60 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Estimados se=C3=B1ores:=C2=A0rvasquez@ifprc.com.pe lo invitamos a partici= par del seminario: ESPECIALIZACI=C3=93N ONLINE T=C3=89CNICAS ESTAD=C3=8DSTICAS PARA PLANIFICACI=C3=93N DE LA DEMANDA CON= FULL EXCEL VIERNES 18 Y MARTES 22 DE MARZO Horario de 7:00 pm a 10:00 pm CONTENIDO: =C2=BFQu=C3=A9 es el pron=C3=B3stico como una actividad estrat=C3=A9gica = de la log=C3=ADstica? Importancia de los pron=C3=B3sticos en la gesti=C3=B3= n log=C3=ADstica (Compras, Almac=C3=A9n y Transportes). =C2=BFQu=C3=A9 se= puede pronosticar? =C2=BFPor qu=C3=A9 es necesario que el profesional Lo= g=C3=ADstico Administre la demanda? M=C3=A9todos de pron=C3=B3sticos: cua= ntitativos y cualitativos aplicados a la log=C3=ADstica. Pron=C3=B3sticos= cuantitativos: (1) modelos series temporales y (2) modelos causales. =20 Errores de previsi=C3=B3n: Error cuadrado medio (ECM) Desviaci=C3=B3n absoluta media (DAM) Evaluaci=C3= =B3n de los modelos de pron=C3=B3sticos =20 M=C3=A9todos cuantitativos: Promedios m=C3=B3viles (simples y ponderados) Suavizaci=C3=B3n exponencia= l Regresiones (lineal, cuadr=C3=A1tica, exponencial, polin=C3=B3mica y po= tencial) Estacionalidad =20 M=C3=A9todos cualitativos: Jurado de opini=C3=B3n ejecutiva Proposici=C3=B3n de personal comercial M= =C3=A9todo Delphi Estudio de mercado =20 MAYORES INFORMES=C2=A0CLICK AQU=C3=8D. CONSULTAS: =C2=A0+51 99 8320 710 |=C2=A0+51 94 7296 491=C2=A0 | +51 95 01= 04 638 =E2=80=8A --a8e0a90334e0ca44386ddb70bd4960341d9b60 Content-Type: text/html; charset="utf-8" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable <html lang=3Den xmlns:v=3Durn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml xmlns:o=3Durn:sch= emas-microsoft-com:office:office><head> <meta http-equiv=3D"Content-Type" content=3D"text/html; charset=3Dutf-8"> <meta name=3Dviewport content=3D"width=3Ddevice-width, initial-scale=3D1.= 0"><!--><LINK rel=3Dstylesheet type=3Dtext/css href=3D"https://fonts.goog= leapis.com/css?family=3DCabin"><LINK rel=3Dstylesheet type=3Dtext/css hre= f=3D"https://fonts.googleapis.com/css?family=3DLato"><LINK rel=3Dstyleshe= et type=3Dtext/css href=3D"https://fonts.googleapis.com/css?family=3DMont= serrat"><LINK rel=3Dstylesheet type=3Dtext/css href=3D"https://fonts.goog= leapis.com/css?family=3DAbril+Fatface"><LINK rel=3Dstylesheet type=3Dtext= /css href=3D"https://fonts.googleapis.com/css?family=3DRoboto"><LINK rel=3D= stylesheet type=3Dtext/css href=3D"https://fonts.googleapis.com/css?famil= y=3DBitter"><!--<![endif]--> <style>* { BOX-SIZING: border-box } BODY { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; P= ADDING-RIGHT: 0px } A[x-apple-data-detectors] { COLOR: !important } #MessageViewBody A { TEXT-DECORATION: none; COLOR:=20 } P { =09 } @media Unknown =20 { .row-content { WIDTH: 100% !important } .column .border { DISPLAY: none } .stack .column { WIDTH: 100%; DISPLAY: block } .reverse { WIDTH: 100%; DISPLAY: table } .reverse .column { DISPLAY: table-header-group !important } .row-1 TD.column > TABLE { PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px } } </style> <meta name=3DGENERATOR content=3D"-[OUTLOOK_VER]-"></head> <body style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; = MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffffff; -webkit-text-= size-adjust: none; text-size-adjust: none"> <table role=3Dpresentation class=3Dnl-container style=3D"BACKGROUND-COLOR= : #ffffff; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt" cellSpacing=3D0 = cellPadding=3D0 width=3D"100%" border=3D0> <tbody> <tr> <td> <table role=3Dpresentation class=3D"row row-1" style=3D"mso-table-lspace:= 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt" cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0 width=3D"100= %" align=3Dcenter border=3D0> <tbody> <tr> <td> <table role=3Dpresentation class=3D"row-content stack" style=3D"WIDTH: 73= 5px; COLOR: #000000; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffffff; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; ms= o-table-rspace: 0pt" cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0 width=3D735 align=3D= center border=3D0> <tbody> <tr class=3Dreverse> <td class=3D"column column-1 last" style=3D"BORDER-LEFT-WIDTH: 0px; BORDE= R-RIGHT-WIDTH: 0px; VERTICAL-ALIGN: top; BORDER-BOTTOM-WIDTH: 0px; FONT-W= EIGHT: 400; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; TEXT-ALIGN: left; PADDING-TOP: 0px; BORD= ER-TOP-WIDTH: 0px; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt" width=3D= "100%"> <table role=3Dpresentation class=3Dtext_block style=3D"mso-table-lspace: = 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt" cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0 width=3D"100%= " border=3D0> <tbody> <tr> <td style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 30px; PADDING-TOP: 10px; PADDING-LEFT: 20px;= PADDING-RIGHT: 20px"> <div style=3D"FONT-FAMILY: Arial, sans-serif"> <div style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12px; FONT-FAMILY: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helv= etica, sans-serif; COLOR: #000000; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5; mso-line-height-alt:= 18px"> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; TEXT-ALIGN: center; MARGIN: 0px; mso-line-he= ight-alt: 27px"><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 14px">Estimados se=C3=B1ores:&n= bsp;rvasquez@ifprc.com.pe lo invitamos a participar del seminario:</span>= <br> <span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 18px"><strong>ESPECIALIZACI=C3=93N ON= LINE</strong></span></p> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; TEXT-ALIGN: center; MARGIN: 0px"><strong><sp= an style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 26px; COLOR: #7c0097">T=C3=89CNICAS ESTAD=C3=8DSTI= CAS PARA PLANIFICACI=C3=93N DE LA DEMANDA CON FULL EXCEL</span></strong><= /p> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; TEXT-ALIGN: center; MARGIN: 0px"><strong><sp= an style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 22px; COLOR: #7c0097">VIERNES 18 Y MARTES 22 DE MA= RZO</span></strong></p> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; TEXT-ALIGN: center; MARGIN: 0px"><strong><sp= an style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 22px; COLOR: #7c0097">Horario de 7:00 pm a 10:00 p= m</span></strong></p> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0px; mso-line-heig= ht-alt: 36px"><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 24px"><strong><span style=3D"FONT= -SIZE: 15px; COLOR: #7c0097">CONTENIDO:</span><br></strong></span></p> <ul style=3D"LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5; mso-line-height-alt: 22.5px"> <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">=C2=BFQu=C3=A9 es el pron=C3=B3stico = como una actividad estrat=C3=A9gica de la log=C3=ADstica?</span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Importancia de los pron=C3=B3sticos e= n la gesti=C3=B3n log=C3=ADstica (Compras, Almac=C3=A9n y Transportes).</= span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">=C2=BFQu=C3=A9 se puede pronosticar?<= /span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">=C2=BFPor qu=C3=A9 es necesario que e= l profesional Log=C3=ADstico Administre la demanda?</span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">M=C3=A9todos de pron=C3=B3sticos: cua= ntitativos y cualitativos aplicados a la log=C3=ADstica.</span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Pron=C3=B3sticos cuantitativos: (1) m= odelos series temporales y (2) modelos causales.</span> </li></ul> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; MARGIN: 0px; mso-line-height-alt: 22.5px"><s= pan style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px"><strong>Errores de previsi=C3=B3n:</strong>= </span></p> <ul style=3D"LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5; mso-line-height-alt: 22.5px"> <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Error cuadrado medio (ECM)</span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Desviaci=C3=B3n absoluta media (DAM)<= /span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Evaluaci=C3=B3n de los modelos de pro= n=C3=B3sticos</span> </li></ul> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; MARGIN: 0px; mso-line-height-alt: 22.5px"><s= pan style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px"><strong>M=C3=A9todos cuantitativos:</strong= ></span></p> <ul style=3D"LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5; mso-line-height-alt: 22.5px"> <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Promedios m=C3=B3viles (simples y pon= derados)</span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Suavizaci=C3=B3n exponencial</span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Regresiones (lineal, cuadr=C3=A1tica,= exponencial, polin=C3=B3mica y potencial)</span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Estacionalidad</span> </li></ul> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; MARGIN: 0px; mso-line-height-alt: 22.5px"><s= pan style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px"><strong>M=C3=A9todos cualitativos:</strong>= </span></p> <ul style=3D"LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5; mso-line-height-alt: 22.5px"> <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Jurado de opini=C3=B3n ejecutiva</spa= n>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Proposici=C3=B3n de personal comercia= l</span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">M=C3=A9todo Delphi</span>=20 <li><span style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px">Estudio de mercado</span> </li></ul> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; MARGIN: 0px; mso-line-height-alt: 18px">&nbs= p;</p> <p style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15px; MARGIN: 0px"><span style=3D"COLOR: #000000">= <strong><span>MAYORES INFORM<span style=3D"COLOR: #000000">ES</span></spa= n><span style=3D"COLOR: #000000"> <a style=3D"TEXT-DECORATION: under= line; COLOR: #000000" href=3D"https://wa.link/9t0nwk" rel=3Dnoopener targ= et=3D_blank>CLICK AQU=C3=8D.</a></span></strong></span><br><span style=3D= "COLOR: #000000"><strong><span style=3D"COLOR: #000000"><span>CONSULTAS:<= /span> <a title=3Dtel:998320710 style=3D"TEXT-DECORATION: underline= ; COLOR: #000000" href=3Dtel:998320710 rel=3Dnoopener target=3D_blank>+51= 99 8320 710</a> | </span><a title=3Dtel:947296491 style=3D"TEXT-DEC= ORATION: underline; COLOR: #000000" href=3Dtel:947296491 rel=3Dnoopener t= arget=3D_blank><span style=3D"TEXT-DECORATION: underline; COLOR: #000000"= >+5</span>1 94 7296 491</a> | <a title=3Dtel:950104638 style=3D"TEX= T-DECORATION: underline; COLOR: #000000" href=3Dtel:950104638 rel=3Dnoope= ner target=3D_blank>+51 95 0104 638</a></strong></span></p></div></div></= td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></tab= le> <table role=3Dpresentation class=3D"row row-2" style=3D"mso-table-lspace:= 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt" cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0 width=3D"100= %" align=3Dcenter border=3D0> <tbody> <tr> <td> <table role=3Dpresentation class=3D"row-content stack" style=3D"WIDTH: 73= 5px; COLOR: #000000; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt" cellSp= acing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0 width=3D735 align=3Dcenter border=3D0> <tbody> <tr> <td class=3D"column column-1" style=3D"BORDER-LEFT-WIDTH: 0px; BORDER-RIG= HT-WIDTH: 0px; VERTICAL-ALIGN: top; BORDER-BOTTOM-WIDTH: 0px; FONT-WEIGHT= : 400; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; TEXT-ALIGN: left; PADDING-TOP: 0px; BORDER-TO= P-WIDTH: 0px; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt" width=3D"100%= "> <div class=3Dspacer_block style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 1px; HEIGHT: 20px; LINE-HEI= GHT: 20px">=E2=80=8A</div></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></t= able></td></tr></tbody></table><!-- End --></body></html> --a8e0a90334e0ca44386ddb70bd4960341d9b60--